Companies Like Fate Therapeutics (NASDAQ:FATE) Could Be Quite Risky
Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Fate Therapeutics (NASDAQ:FATE) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
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How Long Is Fate Therapeutics' Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at September 2025, Fate Therapeutics had cash of US$215m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$115m. Therefore, from September 2025 it had roughly 22 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.NasdaqGM:FATE Debt to Equity History December 21st 2025
View our latest analysis for Fate Therapeutics
How Well Is Fate Therapeutics Growing?
Fate Therapeutics reduced its cash burn by 13% during the last year, which points to some degree of discipline. Unfortunately, however, operating revenue declined by 47% during the period. Considering both these metrics, we're a little concerned about how the company is developing. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Hard Would It Be For Fate Therapeutics To Raise More Cash For Growth?
While Fate Therapeutics seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
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Fate Therapeutics' cash burn of US$115m is about the same as its market capitalisation of US$121m. Given just how high that expenditure is, relative to the company's market value, we think there's an elevated risk of funding distress, and we would be very nervous about holding the stock.
So, Should We Worry About Fate Therapeutics' Cash Burn?
On this analysis of Fate Therapeutics' cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its cash burn relative to its market cap has us a bit worried. After looking at that range of measures, we think shareholders should be extremely attentive to how the company is using its cash, as the cash burn makes us uncomfortable. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Fate Therapeutics you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
Of course Fate Therapeutics may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this freecollection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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